The US desire to maintain its hegemony at the global level continues to gain momentum. This inextricably drew Russia into relations with Ukraine and severely tested China’s political and military will towards Taiwan. At the same time, he is trying to isolate both of his opponents, weaning his main allies from them. She would prefer India to ignore its age-old ties to Russia and prefer the US-led West to it. Similarly, he would like Pakistan to withdraw from the strategic partnership with China and trust the West again, led by the US!
To achieve these strategic goals, it must necessarily have a very significant presence in the South Asian region (South Africa), and it seems that the ball for this is set!
First India; it was very helpful involved the US. This greatly affected the sensibility and sensibility of the Indians; his misplaced arrogance, complacency, megalomania, obsessive desire to be considered great and his insatiable desire to take a seat at the “round table of elite global players”! They actually became vulnerabilities in India, which the United States cleverly exploited. The West, led by the United States, has further inflated its ego by offering it modern weapons systems, the transfer of defense technologies, joint research and production, joint military exercises, etc. However, India has yet to move from the status of a strategic partner to an ally … by choice, I guess .
Will the US be able to achieve its dual goal of tearing India away from Russia and turning it brutally against China any time soon? Most likely. Somewhere between 60 and 70 percent of India’s military hardware is of Soviet/Russian origin. It will take the Indian military an unprecedented paradigm shift and ages to fully adopt Western military technology, if at all. After that, the evolution of compatible doctrines, strategies, operational strategies, tactics, and intensive field training of formations will in itself become a colossal and time-consuming effort. If the Indians do not radically change their military capabilities soon, they will forever doom themselves to an unfavorable strategic balance with the Chinese. The basic difference will remain virtually unchanged even if the Indians bring in a few select weapon systems or combat power multipliers from the West. Thus, whether the Indians abandon the Russians or not, it will make no real difference in the strategic balance between them and China. (A scenario of war with two or three fronts for India will be discussed later). The longer it takes for India to bridge this gap, the more time China will have to further develop as an economic, political and military power that will further challenge US global dominance. This is a no-win situation for both the Indians and the West, led by the US. Thus, given the general time constraints, India will always be a weak point, a vulnerable point in the US strategic design against China. (Have the Chinese already carried out pre-emptive operations in June 2020 and gained significant strategic advantages?)
Will the West, led by the US, be willing to bring well-equipped and well-trained forces into the theater of operations in South Asia in order to overcome this Indian weakness and tip the strategic balance in its favor? (Most unlikely). This would mean that US and European military forces, populations, and industrial and infrastructure centers would also become legitimate targets in the war. Will it limit the war to the Himalayan/South African theater or will it inevitably spread from the Pacific to the US mainland, GMER and Europe – a potential world war scenario? However, will India agree to this and the associated costs? The fighting will essentially be fought on Indian soil and Indian soldiers and civilians will die and Indian infrastructure, industrial and population centers will also be destroyed. (Remember Ukraine!). Where is the famous strategic autonomy of India, if it has to submit to the dictates of the United States? Do the vital national interests of the United States and India coincide so convincingly that they are both ready to go to war with China? Together? The consequences of such a fire would be horrendous and global in nature. However, India must also consider where its economy, its military and its future will be at the other end of such a conflict. Should India play ball? In any case, Indians must first ask one simple yet vital question: what is quid pro quo and is it really worth it?
Indians are unlikely to fall for these US tricks. They have a history of disagreement and are likely to pursue the same policy even now. Most likely, they will continue to interact with the US, Russia and China at the same time, as they have done for centuries. They are likely to get whatever they can from the US-led West, without prejudice to their longstanding relationship with Russia (military equipment, missiles, nuclear power plants, cheap oil, wheat, etc.) and their mutually beneficial trade ties (in US dollars). 100 billion) with China. They continue to deal with Iran, despite CAATSA. It is clear that the US has yet to acquire control of India; not a very sobering thought when preparing to confront China.
However, India will continue to milk the US in international forums such as the UN, G7, G20, etc. It will remain an imaginary partner in QUAD, I2U2, etc., without losing its presence and influence in the SCO, BRICS, etc. e. India will continue to do all sorts of genocides, atrocities, rapes, murders, cordonings and search operations, demographic and political engineering. and destroy all human rights standards and conventions in the Indian illegally occupied region of Jammu and Kashmir (IIOJ & KR). It will also aggressively demonize and destroy Indian Muslims and other minorities, and yet the US-led West will remain tongue-tied and paralyzed inaction by its need to appease India and use it against China.
India will run with the hare and hunt with the hound for as long and as far as possible. However, she will never enter a battle she knows she cannot win, and fighting China, alone or with distant allies, is clearly not a prospect that inspires any vision of victory.
To be continued
